Thursday, April 24, 2008  

Lies, Damn Lies & Statistics

So the other day, Christie starts talking to me about an article she's reading.  It's about American Idol, but I promise this post has to do with more than just that show.

The article's about how the ratings are down, and it asks if the show's somehow cursed.  Somewhere in the article it mentions that the two times the show airs wound up placing #1 and #2 in the ratings.

Now, the numbers ARE down, but the show is still the #1 and #2 shows of the week.

There's an obvious response, about how this is a manufactured 'story.'  How being #1 and #2 means this is a successful show, so any article about it being cursed is, well, downright silly.

But beyond that, this article led me to wonder... why do we read articles about TV show ratings?

Which led me to wonder... why do we, as movie fans, read up about the box office returns for the weekend?  And why do comic fans read how much the various comic books sold during the month?

Since when do we define how we view our entertainment by how much money it makes?

It's not just entertainment, it's everywhere.

Why do we know how much money A-Rod, Derek Jeter, Payton Manning, Tiger Woods and LeBron James make?  Shouldn't we just watch the players or teams we love and worry about wins and losses?

This country is a capitalist one.  I get that.  But haven't we gone too far when we spend more time reading about which comics are making money and which ones aren't than we spend reading the comics themselves?

I remember, when I was younger, they'd talk about exit polls before the polls would close in that very state.  They made that illegal (or at least discouraged the news folks from doing it) because they realized that hearing those results would sway the late voters.  If your candidate was way behind in exit polls, maybe you figure it's a lost cause, and stay home.

But sometimes I think that happens in national elections.  That when we hear about the results on the East Coast, the West Coast voters may change their minds about voting or not voting based on those results.

But an argument (and a good one, I suppose) can be made that election results are important news.  Those are numbers we need to know about.

But can we say the same about Nielsen ratings?  Or Comic Book sales numbers?  Or box-office returns?  Do those numbers really matter?  Do they affect or reflect our enjoyment?

They can't, can they?

Yet, I see it on message boards.  I've heard people say it.  I've thought it myself.

"Oh, I won't check that new show out.  I hear it's doing terribly in the ratings.  It won't be on the air very long."

Suddenly, the exit polls are affecting the voting.

And again, I'm forced to ask why.  These aren't exit polls, and this isn't an election.  How many people watch a TV show has no bearing on whether or not that show is to your liking.  How many people read "Checkmate" has no bearing on whether or not it's a good comic (hint: it is).

I know some of these statistics are time honored.  The New York Times Bestseller list, or the Top 40 songs on the radio.  But do we need to know those things?  And do we need to know it about everything?

And by extension, even if we (for reasons that I don't get) need to know how much a movie made at the box office, do we need to know how much the movie star made to appear in it?

What do you guys think?

Comments:
Interesting question.

The sales numbers/box office returns don't have a lot of meaning for me unless I'm already invested, for good or for bad. If a book that I like isn't selling all that well, for example, I'll usually make a point of mentioning how good it is on message boards, or lending it out to someone who's looking for something new to read. It's not that I wouldn't rec the book anyway, but knowing that it needs the help makes me a little more aggressive about it. On the opposite end, there's nothing quite like the bittersweet shot of schadenfreude that comes with watching a poorly made movie based on a book or game I enjoyed tank at the box office.

I think a lot of it is that we tend to be somewhat obsessive about our entertainment and being able to rank our personal taste by popularity or knowing the financial worth of our favorite actors and sports stars feeds into that. We may not need to know the numbers, but as long as it keeps us talking, I'm sure we'll keep being told about them.
 
i don't pay much attention to ratings or box office figures or even comic book sales. now, that's mostly because numbers make my head hurt and i think math is the devil. but it's also because...well...i don't CARE. Yeah, I like to see the shows and comics I'm into do well...but do those numbers really reflect anything? I've railed against the stupidity of the Nielsen ratings plenty of times because it's basically a handful of people, representing the viewing tastes of millions. how can that be in any way accurate? I'll use the recent example of a show I enjoyed but was cancelled...TWICE! Jericho. CBS cancelled it last season only to bring it back after a tremendous outpouring of fan support. then cancelled it again because it still didn't have the ratings. because no matter how many people were actually watching it, no matter how many new viewers were convinced to watch it, if none or not enough of them had Nielsen boxes, none of it mattered. for comics, sales are reflected not by how much readers are buying, but how much retailers are pre-ordering three or four months beforehand. So you could have a number 1 book from retailers ordering a lot of copies but that's no guarantee anyone's going to buy it.

Now, I understand that these industries are businesses and need some kind of quantifiable weigh of measuring their success to sell ad space and what not. but i agree that there shouldn't be as large a correlation as there is now placed on financial ranking and quality of content. I mean, Serenity got beat at the box office by Flightplan. And which one do people still talk about and hold conventions for?

But as I said, numbers make my head hurt so the more i think about these systems...particularly the ones that don't make much sense...i feel that migraine starting to set in. So i'll go now.

Oh, and I also should say that Checkmate is, indeed, awesome. Just read the last issue yesterday and nearly teared up knowing there would be no more (because no matter what the solicits say, the book I loved ends with Rucka. :p).
 
There's nothing funnier than hearing two people on the subway talk about box office returns as if they work at a studio or something--when they totally don't. I think this is driven by people wanting to follow some kind of 'investment' but not actually investing in anything. It's a daily gamble, a daily hit of something. That said, I bet if papers stopped printing and reporting on box office take of movies, no one would care. People would still go to the movies, still argue about them, and still complain. I feel like we're living through an odd cultural moment when on the one hand it's cool to hate math and on the other, everything is validated by statistics, which as the title of this posts reminds us, is a total sham. The least accurate and most subjective form of mathematics has become the de facto proof of something. Tiresome. I've stopped looked at Box office return and comic sales numbers. Fuggit.
 
Ok, sorry for double post--but think about this. Everyone who likes following box office returns-do you follow stocks you have no money in? "Ohh Novartis is up 10% for the week!" Sounds pointless right? So why do it with movies when you have no financial stake in it?
 
I also don't care how much it cost to make a movie. "Waterworld" or "The Blair Witch Project", they both suck. Sure, it's great that you can make a major motion picture for $50 and a bag of Cheetos, but BWP is still 90 minutes of my life I'll never get back.
 
Post a Comment

Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]





<< Home

This site uses blogger.
© 2007 - 2008 (site feed | archives)